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Geopolitics

Analyzing the intersection of power, policy, and economic influence—how global conflicts, trade dynamics, and strategic decisions shape the world.

Honey, I Shrunk the Oil Reserves

My birthday is less than a week away, which means I have entered that annual season of accidental self-reflection. Honey, I Shrunk the Kids came out the same year I did, and I am about two months older than the film. The movie came to mind when I run the

Ο Φόρος Καυσίμων, το Κόστος της Πολιτικής Αδράνειας και η Εναλλακτική

ΕΛ EN Όχι στη Μείωση του Φόρου, Όχι και στην Αδράνεια No to Tax Cuts, No to Inaction Either Μια ερευνητική ανάλυση για το πραγματικό κόστος των υψηλών τιμών πετρελαίου για το ελληνικό κράτος - και για το πού θα μπορούσαν να κατευθυνθούν αυτά τα χρήματα αντ' αυτού An

Why Most Protests Fail

Audited Protest Outcomes Many protest movements create an opening. Far fewer make that opening last. The deeper question is whether the regime stays coordinated long enough to outlast the moment. Prologue Iran is where the question began, because the desire for change was visible while the regime still held the

The Hidden China Front in the War on Iran

Iran is not a pillar of Chinese power, but it is useful enough to Beijing that war on Iran can raise China’s costs through oil, sanctions-adapted trade, and Hormuz exposure.

War, Oil, and the Price of an Office Chair

Prologue I wanted to understand what a war in Iran could actually do to the economy. The global answer was too abstract to hold onto, so I followed one ordinary object instead, a mid-range office chair, and traced how energy, shipping, freight, margins, and tax can turn a regional war

Europe’s Geopolitical Trade Power Play, A Stress Test for Regional Jobs

EU–Mercosur may read like a technical trade deal, but it really tests whether Europe’s regions have the readiness to turn new competition into upgrading rather than local job anxiety. EN ΕΛ Επιλέξτε ΕΛ για να δείτε την ελληνική μετάφραση Ελληνική μετάφραση [Η αγγλική έκδοση παραμένει στο κύριο σώμα

Europe's 'hollowing-out' moment

Did you know? Venezuela’s oil became a geopolitical “payment rail”

In the last decade, Venezuela’s state oil system (PDVSA) has been operating through multiple, distinct channels that moved value outward: oil-backed debt repayment, prepayments linked to future supply, subsidized shipments, swap contracts for diluents and fuels, and sanctions-era routing via gold and new intermediaries. (Reuters) 1️⃣China: oil-backed lending

Imports matter more than exports. Right?

Prologue I remember my first trade class in Paris. Not the city—though the coincidence felt like a public joke at the time—but a lecture hall with chalk dust in the light and a professor who spoke the way people speak when they intend to rearrange your furniture. She

Governance, Law, and Empire in the Eastern Mediterranean (7th–17th Century)